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PUBLICATION
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
JANUARY 2005 KEY POINTS
Trend
The trend estimate for sales of new motor vehicles increased 0.6% to 82,675 in January 2005. When compared with January 2004 (77,862), the trend estimate has shown an increase of 6.2%.
The trend estimate for sales of passenger vehicles and other vehicles each recorded an increase of 0.7% over the last month while sales of sports utility vehicles increased 0.2%.
When compared with January 2004, the trend estimate of passenger vehicle sales increased 4.0%, sports utility vehicles increased 13.7%, and other vehicles increased 6.5%.
The majority of states and territories recorded increases in trend estimates for sales of new motor vehicles in January 2005 compared to December 2004. South Australia (-0.2%), Western Australia (-0.2%) and Northern Territory (-1.5%) were the only states or territories to record decreases.
Seasonally adjusted
The seasonally adjusted estimate for sales of new motor vehicles increased 8.9% to 85,486 in January 2005. Passenger vehicle sales increased 10.1%, sales of sports utility vehicles increased 8.4%, while sales of other new vehicles increased 6.0% in January 2005 compared to December 2004.
All states and territories recorded increases in the seasonally adjusted estimate for the sales of new motor vehicles, with South Australia recording the largest increase (17.2%).
Sales Of New Motor Vehicles, January 2005
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT | ACT | Aust. |
Vehicle Sales
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| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally Adjusted | 27,187 | 22,602 | 17,858 | 5,566 | 8,370 | 1,877 | 723 | 1,303 | 85,486 |
Trend | 26,232 | 22,239 | 17,221 | 5,274 | 7,934 | 1,813 | 714 | 1,248 | 82,675 |
Percentage Change From Previous Month
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| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally Adjusted | 7.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 17.2 | 16.8 | 14.0 | 3.3 | 11.5 | 8.9 |
Trend | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 1.3 | -1.5 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
Percentage Change From Previous year
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| | | | | | | | | |
Seasonally Adjusted | 5.8 | 9.6 | 11.1 | 5.1 | 16.7 | 27.4 | 10.6 | 6.5 | 9.3 |
Trend | 2.4 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 10.7 | 23.2 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 6.2 |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 9 and 10.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The February 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the January 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%. |
2 | The February 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the January 2005 seasonally adjusted estimate by 4.0%. |
The percentage change of 4.0% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 4.0%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONAL ANALYSIS
Table 1: New Motor Vehicle Sales
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| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) |
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Original |
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2003 | November | 48,482 | 12,892 | 14,738 | 76,112 | -7.1 | 4.7 | 0.1 | -3.9 |
| December | 49,834 | 13,296 | 14,656 | 77,786 | 2.8 | 3.1 | -0.6 | 2.2 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2004 | January | 40,715 | 12,291 | 11,791 | 64,797 | -18.3 | -7.6 | -19.5 | -16.7 |
| February | 47,876 | 12,865 | 15,136 | 75,877 | 17.6 | 4.7 | 28.4 | 17.1 |
| March | 53,728 | 15,005 | 17,313 | 86,046 | 12.2 | 16.6 | 14.4 | 13.4 |
| April | 44,079 | 12,351 | 14,875 | 71,305 | -18.0 | -17.7 | -14.1 | -17.1 |
| May | 46,168 | 15,052 | 17,059 | 78,279 | 4.7 | 21.9 | 14.7 | 9.8 |
| June | 58,284 | 17,981 | 20,947 | 97,212 | 26.2 | 19.5 | 22.8 | 24.2 |
| July | 46,724 | 14,442 | 15,869 | 77,035 | -19.8 | -19.7 | -24.2 | -20.8 |
| August | 48,649 | 14,910 | 15,685 | 79,244 | 4.1 | 3.2 | -1.2 | 2.9 |
| September | 49,911 | 14,715 | 15,826 | 80,452 | 2.6 | -1.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| October | 52,290 | 13,907 | 15,470 | 81,667 | 4.8 | -5.5 | -2.2 | 1.5 |
| November | 52,888 | 15,257 | 16,190 | 84,335 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| December | 48,673 | 14,311 | 15,996 | 78,980 | -8.0 | -6.2 | -1.2 | -6.3 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 43,075 | 13,826 | 12,664 | 69,565 | -11.5 | -3.4 | -20.8 | -11.9 |
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Seasonally Adjusted |
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2003 | November | 48,251 | 13,168 | 14,920 | 76,339 | -1.4 | 4.2 | -1.2 | -0.4 |
| December | 48,851 | 13,449 | 15,063 | 77,363 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
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2004 | January | 48,870 | 13,782 | 15,536 | 78,188 | +0.0 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| February | 49,296 | 13,342 | 15,951 | 78,589 | 0.9 | -3.2 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| March | 48,786 | 13,476 | 16,262 | 78,524 | -1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | -0.1 |
| April | 48,394 | 13,353 | 15,965 | 77,712 | -0.8 | -0.9 | -1.8 | -1.0 |
| May | 47,686 | 14,453 | 16,069 | 78,208 | -1.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| June | 49,758 | 14,503 | 15,417 | 79,678 | 4.3 | 0.3 | -4.1 | 1.9 |
| July | 47,269 | 14,681 | 15,979 | 77,929 | -5.0 | 1.2 | 3.6 | -2.2 |
| August | 48,217 | 14,939 | 15,771 | 78,927 | 2.0 | 1.8 | -1.3 | 1.3 |
| September | 50,121 | 15,253 | 16,283 | 81,657 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| October | 51,879 | 15,434 | 16,692 | 84,005 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| November | 49,851 | 15,071 | 15,696 | 80,618 | -3.9 | -2.4 | -6.0 | -4.0 |
| December | 47,809 | 14,479 | 16,199 | 78,487 | -4.1 | -3.9 | 3.2 | -2.6 |
| | | | | | | | | |
2005 | January | 52,618 | 15,697 | 17,171 | 85,486 | 10.1 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 8.9 |
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Trend |
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2003 | November | 49,908 | 13,053 | 15,133 | 78,094 | -1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | -0.3 |
| December | 49,334 | 13,238 | 15,331 | 77,903 | -1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | -0.2 |
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2004 | January | 48,899 | 13,389 | 15,574 | 77,862 | -0.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | -0.1 |
| February | 48,677 | 13,509 | 15,795 | 77,981 | -0.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| March | 48,580 | 13,645 | 15,932 | 78,157 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| April | 48,453 | 13,825 | 15,963 | 78,241 | -0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| May | 48,332 | 14,090 | 15,934 | 78,356 | -0.2 | 1.9 | -0.2 | 0.1 |
| June | 48,405 | 14,434 | 15,903 | 78,742 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -0.2 | 0.5 |
| July | 48,675 | 14,752 | 15,897 | 79,324 | 0.6 | 2.2 | -0.0 | 0.7 |
| August | 49,070 | 14,972 | 15,955 | 79,997 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| September | 49,500 | 15,078 | 16,065 | 80,643 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| October | 49,884 | 15,123 | 16,199 | 81,206 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| November | 50,218 | 15,156 | 16,332 | 81,706 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| December | 50,499 | 15,192 | 16,477 | 82,168 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
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2005 | January | 50,867 | 15,217 | 16,591 | 82,675 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
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Table 2: New Motor Vehicle Sales by State/Territory of Registration
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| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) |
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Original |
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2003 | November | 25,099 | 20,254 | 15,058 | 5,214 | 6,925 | 1,717 | 630 | 1,215 | 76,112 |
| December | 25,113 | 21,071 | 15,265 | 5,404 | 7,161 | 1,860 | 593 | 1,319 | 77,786 |
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2004 | January | 21,216 | 16,857 | 13,403 | 4,334 | 6,249 | 1,193 | 498 | 1,047 | 64,797 |
| February | 24,955 | 19,727 | 15,901 | 5,059 | 7,113 | 1,297 | 686 | 1,139 | 75,877 |
| March | 28,118 | 22,137 | 18,611 | 5,561 | 8,086 | 1,343 | 912 | 1,278 | 86,046 |
| April | 23,033 | 19,083 | 14,831 | 4,670 | 6,529 | 1,229 | 812 | 1,118 | 71,305 |
| May | 25,649 | 20,106 | 16,373 | 5,215 | 7,296 | 1,513 | 918 | 1,209 | 78,279 |
| June | 31,438 | 23,929 | 22,026 | 6,436 | 8,969 | 1,982 | 958 | 1,474 | 97,212 |
| July | 25,031 | 19,410 | 17,141 | 4,949 | 7,228 | 1,449 | 646 | 1,181 | 77,035 |
| August | 24,795 | 20,850 | 17,269 | 5,414 | 7,513 | 1,585 | 677 | 1,141 | 79,244 |
| September | 25,241 | 20,821 | 17,188 | 5,289 | 8,177 | 1,855 | 739 | 1,142 | 80,452 |
| October | 25,621 | 22,747 | 16,079 | 5,413 | 7,875 | 1,981 | 709 | 1,242 | 81,667 |
| November | 26,619 | 23,052 | 17,117 | 5,450 | 8,157 | 1,944 | 694 | 1,302 | 84,335 |
| December | 24,315 | 21,700 | 16,537 | 4,998 | 7,341 | 2,245 | 647 | 1,197 | 78,980 |
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2005 | January | 22,467 | 18,015 | 14,530 | 4,466 | 6,931 | 1,478 | 560 | 1,118 | 69,565 |
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Seasonally Adjusted |
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2003 | November | 24,606 | 20,337 | 15,564 | 5,294 | 7,087 | 1,574 | 650 | 1,227 | 76,339 |
| December | 25,956 | 20,526 | 15,236 | 5,171 | 7,199 | 1,368 | 646 | 1,261 | 77,363 |
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2004 | January | 25,694 | 20,616 | 16,076 | 5,297 | 7,171 | 1,473 | 654 | 1,207 | 78,188 |
| February | 25,795 | 20,533 | 16,421 | 5,191 | 7,167 | 1,515 | 752 | 1,215 | 78,589 |
| March | 25,676 | 20,325 | 16,668 | 5,176 | 7,291 | 1,412 | 777 | 1,199 | 78,524 |
| April | 25,312 | 20,483 | 16,210 | 5,152 | 7,089 | 1,472 | 767 | 1,227 | 77,712 |
| May | 25,046 | 20,340 | 16,619 | 5,202 | 7,512 | 1,526 | 771 | 1,192 | 78,208 |
| June | 25,525 | 20,294 | 17,605 | 5,263 | 7,210 | 1,850 | 727 | 1,204 | 79,678 |
| July | 25,204 | 19,580 | 17,086 | 5,035 | 7,609 | 1,523 | 682 | 1,210 | 77,929 |
| August | 24,914 | 20,597 | 17,056 | 5,326 | 7,626 | 1,552 | 726 | 1,130 | 78,927 |
| September | 25,663 | 21,098 | 17,250 | 5,373 | 8,409 | 1,845 | 812 | 1,207 | 81,657 |
| October | 25,976 | 23,082 | 17,372 | 5,653 | 7,962 | 1,950 | 760 | 1,250 | 84,005 |
| November | 25,458 | 21,480 | 16,724 | 5,257 | 8,064 | 1,702 | 707 | 1,226 | 80,618 |
| December | 25,249 | 21,118 | 16,690 | 4,750 | 7,165 | 1,646 | 700 | 1,169 | 78,487 |
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2005 | January | 27,187 | 22,602 | 17,858 | 5,566 | 8,370 | 1,877 | 723 | 1,303 | 85,486 |
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Trend |
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2003 | November | 25,835 | 20,689 | 15,643 | 5,297 | 7,163 | 1,568 | 645 | 1,254 | 78,094 |
| December | 25,702 | 20,601 | 15,763 | 5,260 | 7,156 | 1,517 | 666 | 1,238 | 77,903 |
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2004 | January | 25,614 | 20,534 | 15,932 | 5,227 | 7,164 | 1,472 | 694 | 1,225 | 77,862 |
| February | 25,568 | 20,475 | 16,159 | 5,204 | 7,180 | 1,456 | 723 | 1,216 | 77,981 |
| March | 25,525 | 20,401 | 16,417 | 5,186 | 7,199 | 1,472 | 746 | 1,211 | 78,157 |
| April | 25,433 | 20,276 | 16,658 | 5,169 | 7,236 | 1,507 | 757 | 1,205 | 78,241 |
| May | 25,312 | 20,173 | 16,870 | 5,169 | 7,317 | 1,555 | 762 | 1,198 | 78,356 |
| June | 25,245 | 20,216 | 17,042 | 5,206 | 7,466 | 1,610 | 762 | 1,195 | 78,742 |
| July | 25,248 | 20,427 | 17,142 | 5,257 | 7,638 | 1,662 | 758 | 1,192 | 79,324 |
| August | 25,306 | 20,772 | 17,174 | 5,300 | 7,787 | 1,710 | 755 | 1,193 | 79,997 |
| September | 25,425 | 21,172 | 17,151 | 5,320 | 7,886 | 1,740 | 751 | 1,198 | 80,643 |
| October | 25,585 | 21,546 | 17,110 | 5,317 | 7,931 | 1,763 | 745 | 1,209 | 81,206 |
| November | 25,779 | 21,840 | 17,106 | 5,301 | 7,944 | 1,779 | 735 | 1,222 | 81,706 |
| December | 25,992 | 22,059 | 17,134 | 5,282 | 7,950 | 1,790 | 725 | 1,236 | 82,168 |
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2005 | January | 26,232 | 22,239 | 17,221 | 5,274 | 7,934 | 1,813 | 714 | 1,248 | 82,675 |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. |
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